Thomas Klitgaard The start of the Middle East conflict in early 2026 caused an unprecedented drop in global petroleum supply.…
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Will Aarons and Asani Sarkar There is little consensus on the effect of AI adoption on employment. Economy-wide measures of…
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Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner In this post, we discuss insights from a recent staff report on the role of…
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Kartik B. Athreya As fall starts to show itself in cooler weather, I want to discuss a topic that usually…
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Elizabeth B. Li, Giorgio Topa, and Jacob P. Weber Measures of labor market tightness (LMT) describe how difficult it is…
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Julian di Giovanni The AI boom is showing up in different corners of the U.S. economy, including international trade. Imports…
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Jeremy Pearce From the Great Recession until 2019, U.S. labor productivity growth disappointed. Nonfarm-business output per hour grew about 1…
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Jaison R. Abel, Mary Amiti, Richard Deitz, Sebastian Heise, and Nick Montalbano The past year brought dramatic changes to U.S.…
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Will Aarons and Asani Sarkar How has the recent implementation of tariffs affected small businesses? Due to lack of data,…
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Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner Banking crises are commonly associated with bank runs and banking panics, yet our…